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Red78
36021.1
252123.7
412523.0
Blue48
644322.3
777617.4
371121.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080907848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#20
23.70.8
22.823.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 1.4
6443
#39
22.31.2
23.222.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Second
4125
#28
23.00.8
22.122.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End6.4
red by 1.9
3711
#45
21.21.2
22.121.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End9.7
Third
360
#27
21.10.8
18.719.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End8.6
red by 3.7
7776
#46
17.41.2
17.015.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned