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Red78
289821.4
214729.3
366325.7
Blue68
241221.9
291521.0
252123.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83725060901001107868

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.0
30.330.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 5.6
2521
#20
23.70.4
24.123.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
Second
3663
#14
25.70.0
26.826.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End7.0
red by 3.9
2412
#54
21.90.4
22.522.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End6.2
Third
21.40.0
21.521.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 0.4
2915
#16
21.00.4
21.421.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned