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Red68
430921.6
457921.3
413123.3
Blue58
378611.6
189916.0
154029.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6257203040507080901006858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#23
23.30.2
22.823.0
Auto3.5
Teleop15.9
End3.8
blue by 6.3
1540
#35
29.50.3
33.133.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End6.3
Second
4309
#32
21.60.2
19.019.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End5.3
red by 5.6
1899
#59
16.00.3
13.313.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Third
4579
#12
21.30.2
17.017.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End3.0
red by 9.8
3786
#55
11.60.3
7.37.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsEarned