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Red86
291521.0
491129.8
582728.0
Blue55
382624.8
371121.2
703415.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76652040601001208655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.9
28.729.7
Auto3.8
Teleop20.8
End5.3
red by 5.0
3826
#29
24.80.5
23.623.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
Second
5827
#13
28.00.9
25.226.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End8.9
red by 6.8
3711
#45
21.20.5
21.921.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End9.7
Third
2915
#16
21.00.9
18.219.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 5.9
7034
#56
15.00.5
16.415.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned