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Red22
498021.6
302414.5
322320.9
Blue73
363622.0
99727.1
382624.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62752040801002273

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#25
21.62.5
23.621.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.8
blue by 5.5
997
#22
27.10.1
25.125.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End5.7
Second
3223
#31
20.92.5
20.818.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End5.9
blue by 3.9
3826
#29
24.80.1
23.623.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
Third
3024
#58
14.52.5
14.612.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.0
blue by 7.5
3636
#41
22.00.1
22.122.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed