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Red59
358822.5
289821.4
703415.0
Blue40
593718.4
546817.4
558819.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56563040506070805940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#47
22.50.4
18.919.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
red by 2.7
5588
#33
19.81.0
16.615.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
21.40.4
19.319.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 2.9
5937
#48
18.41.0
17.016.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.5
Third
7034
#56
15.00.4
15.015.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 2.4
5468
#60
17.41.0
19.018.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed