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Red68
382624.8
406022.3
451320.8
Blue63
684525.3
593718.4
404330.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66743040506080901001106863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#29
24.80.4
24.024.3
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
blue by 5.2
4043
#11
30.00.5
30.029.5
Auto5.1
Teleop20.8
End4.1
Second
4060
#30
22.30.4
20.721.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End6.3
blue by 3.0
6845
#49
25.30.5
23.823.3
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.1
Third
4513
#42
20.80.4
18.118.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 2.4
5937
#48
18.40.5
16.015.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed