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Red62
371121.2
49227.2
406120.4
Blue64
189916.0
289821.4
99727.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676240507080906264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#40
27.20.1
23.923.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End7.5
red by 0.1
997
#22
27.10.1
24.524.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End5.7
Second
3711
#45
21.20.1
21.121.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End9.7
blue by 0.2
21.40.1
20.420.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
4061
#50
20.40.1
18.318.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End2.4
red by 4.4
1899
#59
16.00.1
14.014.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed