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Red52
469220.1
252123.7
292825.9
Blue57
457921.3
363622.0
299029.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727402040601001201405257

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#18
25.91.3
25.123.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End5.4
blue by 4.0
29.91.5
30.228.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.7
Second
2521
#20
23.71.3
23.422.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 1.7
3636
#41
22.01.5
21.920.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
Third
4692
#63
20.11.3
19.518.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.4
blue by 1.3
4579
#12
21.31.5
18.517.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsMissed