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Red56
451320.8
644520.4
411018.3
Blue89
580330.2
289821.4
491129.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53822040601005689

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#42
20.80.4
17.617.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.8
blue by 9.4
5803
#36
30.20.7
27.027.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End8.7
Second
6445
#57
20.40.4
18.218.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End3.5
blue by 9.4
29.80.7
30.230.9
Auto3.8
Teleop20.8
End5.3
Third
4110
#62
18.30.4
14.915.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 3.1
21.40.7
20.521.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned