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Red98
255723.4
299029.9
291040.3
Blue73
378611.6
214729.3
198332.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977840601209873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.4
40.340.7
Auto5.1
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 8.2
1983
#17
32.10.0
32.932.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Second
29.90.4
29.429.8
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.7
red by 0.6
29.30.0
30.730.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Third
2557
#44
23.40.4
22.222.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 11.8
3786
#55
11.60.0
10.210.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsMissed