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Red77
777617.4
142522.8
366325.7
Blue43
558819.8
469220.1
247124.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6768204060801001207743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#14
25.70.9
22.423.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End7.0
red by 1.6
2471
#34
24.11.5
23.221.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Second
1425
#38
22.80.9
24.725.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 2.7
4692
#63
20.11.5
25.323.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.4
Third
7776
#46
17.40.9
16.817.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End3.8
blue by 2.4
5588
#33
19.81.5
16.314.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsMissed