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Red69
273323.4
293028.9
469220.1
Blue75
204633.1
289821.4
302414.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7372606570758085906975

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#15
28.90.0
28.528.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.6
End7.4
blue by 4.2
33.10.3
34.334.5
Auto5.9
Teleop18.8
End8.4
Second
2733
#26
23.40.0
21.921.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End5.9
red by 2.1
21.40.3
21.321.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
4692
#63
20.10.0
18.518.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.4
red by 5.6
3024
#58
14.50.3
12.512.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsEarned