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Red86
404330.0
382624.8
358822.5
Blue68
154029.5
469220.1
451221.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7875506070901008668

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#11
30.00.8
30.030.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.8
End4.1
red by 0.5
1540
#35
29.50.2
31.431.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End6.3
Second
3826
#29
24.80.8
24.124.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
red by 3.6
4512
#61
21.20.2
20.420.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End3.9
Third
3588
#47
22.50.8
20.221.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
red by 2.5
4692
#63
20.10.2
19.018.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsMissed