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Red100
291040.3
204633.1
290720.9
Blue83
366325.7
214729.3
451320.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101816012010083

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.1
40.740.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 11.0
29.30.1
29.529.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Second
33.10.1
33.633.7
Auto5.9
Teleop18.8
End8.4
red by 7.4
3663
#14
25.70.1
25.926.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End7.0
Third
2907
#37
20.90.1
21.421.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
red by 0.1
4513
#42
20.80.1
21.021.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.8