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Red73
398622.3
399025.4
398515.3
Blue51
151121.1
22924.7
586514.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646450556070757351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.4
24.524.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End7.1
red by 0.7
229
#3
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End4.0
Second
22.30.3
21.621.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End5.4
red by 1.2
21.10.3
21.321.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.2
Third
3985
#30
15.30.3
14.414.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.6
red by 1.0
5865
#16
14.20.3
14.514.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.5