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Red34
74719.1
493021.5
354418.2
Blue29
33799.9
397513.8
336019.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040303436383429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.4
17.417.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End8.2
red by 1.9
19.61.0
16.615.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End4.6
Second
18.20.4
11.210.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
red by 4.4
3975
#24
13.81.0
13.212.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End3.4
Third
7471
#33
9.10.4
9.28.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End1.3
blue by 0.8
3379
#27
9.91.0
8.17.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed