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Red44
22924.7
151121.1
355012.1
Blue23
26269.2
495713.0
770012.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48322040604423

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#3
24.70.2
18.518.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 11.7
4957
#12
13.00.8
9.18.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Second
21.10.2
14.013.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 8.8
7700
#35
12.30.8
10.09.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End4.2
Third
3550
#20
12.10.2
12.912.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End2.7
red by 2.9
2626
#36
9.20.8
11.310.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed