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Red29
397513.8
353212.6
654110.7
Blue58
760519.8
711619.8
338614.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3644102030405060702958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3975
#24
13.80.5
14.113.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End3.4
blue by 6.0
7116
#22
19.81.7
13.715.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Second
3532
#26
12.60.5
12.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End3.4
blue by 7.2
19.81.8
18.019.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End5.2
Third
6541
#38
10.70.5
7.77.1
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 3.8
3386
#21
14.41.8
10.212.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed