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Red35
54436.9
353212.6
459412.9
Blue39
760519.8
495510.5
555310.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3344102030405060703539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4594
#32
12.90.3
12.012.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 6.9
19.80.3
19.819.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End5.2
Second
3532
#26
12.60.3
12.012.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End3.4
red by 1.6
5553
#17
10.90.2
11.311.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Third
5443
#28
6.90.3
7.47.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End3.0
blue by 3.6
4955
#34
10.50.2
10.410.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed