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Red69
399025.4
151121.1
711619.8
Blue38
65406.6
398515.3
354418.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5735203040506070806938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.5
20.521.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End7.1
red by 7.2
18.20.5
15.616.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Second
21.11.5
17.819.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 5.8
3985
#30
15.30.5
12.513.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.6
Third
7116
#22
19.81.5
15.416.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 13.2
6540
#41
6.60.5
5.15.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned7%HAB Docking oddsMissed