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Red40
493021.5
71348.2
26269.2
Blue61
711619.8
495713.0
705315.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404502060804061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.2
21.121.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End8.2
red by 1.7
7116
#22
19.81.4
16.918.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Second
2626
#36
9.20.2
9.09.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 5.8
7053
#13
15.01.4
13.615.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End2.1
Third
7134
#40
8.20.2
8.08.2
Auto0.3
Teleop4.0
End3.9
blue by 4.8
4957
#12
13.01.4
12.013.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed