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Red79
398622.3
399025.4
398515.3
Blue61
338614.4
354418.2
711619.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6152304070807961

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.5
23.323.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End7.1
red by 5.6
7116
#22
19.80.3
18.919.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Second
22.30.3
20.721.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End5.4
red by 4.1
18.20.3
17.217.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Third
3985
#30
15.30.4
13.313.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.6
red by 0.8
3386
#21
14.40.3
13.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End4.7