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Red61
398627.4
561827.7
759014.1
Blue67
338622.6
399622.0
209517.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746440801001206167

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
28.027.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End8.6
red by 5.1
22.60.1
22.122.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Second
27.40.3
27.727.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.9
End5.4
red by 5.4
22.00.1
21.521.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Third
7590
#29
14.10.3
14.414.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End5.6
blue by 3.5
2095
#15
17.60.1
17.217.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End6.1