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Red70
544015.7
223415.9
461329.6
Blue29
580014.4
595216.4
262613.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060807029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.4
24.726.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End9.3
red by 13.2
5952
#28
16.40.4
9.99.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
Second
2234
#26
15.91.4
11.913.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End4.8
red by 1.5
5800
#25
14.40.4
13.312.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
Third
5440
#10
15.72.3
12.414.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End5.8
red by 2.3
2626
#19
13.30.3
9.28.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed