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Red87
399622.0
398627.4
495221.4
Blue15
66229.3
543918.3
595216.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544102060801008715

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.42.4
22.324.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.9
End5.4
red by 9.2
5439
#23
18.32.6
13.711.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Second
22.02.4
16.018.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
red by 5.6
5952
#28
16.42.6
12.59.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
Third
21.43.9
13.217.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End7.0
red by 12.1
6622
#34
9.32.6
12.59.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed