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Red34
595216.4
50959.9
336021.2
Blue53
543918.3
398515.8
517917.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45490204060803453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#12
21.20.6
20.720.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End4.7
red by 2.9
5439
#23
18.30.3
16.516.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Second
5952
#28
16.40.9
10.69.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
blue by 1.5
5179
#14
17.90.3
13.313.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End5.3
Third
5095
#33
9.90.9
11.010.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 5.9
3985
#16
15.80.1
16.516.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsEarned