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Red52
223415.9
595216.4
517917.9
Blue77
552819.4
591023.1
494213.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801005277

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5179
#14
17.91.8
13.014.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End5.3
blue by 5.3
5910
#21
23.12.7
16.619.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Second
5952
#28
16.41.8
9.711.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
blue by 3.0
5528
#13
19.42.7
15.217.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End4.2
Third
2234
#26
15.91.1
13.214.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End4.8
red by 2.6
4942
#30
13.32.7
10.813.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsEarned