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Red39
66229.3
544015.7
580014.4
Blue43
311713.4
552819.4
398515.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445102060801003943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5440
#10
15.72.5
14.712.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End5.8
blue by 3.7
5528
#13
19.40.5
17.917.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End4.2
Second
5800
#25
14.42.5
14.111.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
blue by 1.4
3985
#16
15.80.3
16.316.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
6622
#34
9.32.5
12.510.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 4.2
13.40.3
13.713.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed