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Red49
55709.3
223415.9
725127.3
Blue63
595216.4
552819.4
544015.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50431020306070804963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.1
26.226.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End7.0
red by 7.9
5528
#13
19.42.5
17.419.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End4.2
Second
2234
#26
15.90.1
14.814.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 0.5
5952
#28
16.42.5
11.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
Third
5570
#32
9.30.2
6.26.4
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.1
blue by 6.3
5440
#10
15.72.5
12.214.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned