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Red42
517917.9
66229.3
495221.4
Blue45
759014.1
495018.0
495510.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484210203060704245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
21.020.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End7.0
red by 3.3
18.00.0
15.815.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End8.1
Second
5179
#14
17.90.3
13.913.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End5.3
red by 3.8
7590
#29
14.10.0
11.711.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End5.6
Third
6622
#34
9.30.3
10.29.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 1.5
4955
#22
10.80.0
11.811.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned