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Red73
461329.6
591023.1
580014.4
Blue30
338622.6
398811.8
35105.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040102030507080907330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
26.227.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End9.3
red by 7.0
22.60.5
21.120.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Second
5910
#21
23.11.8
18.420.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
red by 11.4
3988
#20
11.80.5
12.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
5800
#25
14.41.7
11.913.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
red by 9.1
3510
#31
5.40.5
4.23.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed