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Red44
495510.8
398811.8
398515.8
Blue44
262613.3
591023.1
495018.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383730323436404244464444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3985
#16
15.8
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 7.3
5910
#21
23.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Second
3988
#20
11.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 6.3
18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End8.1
Third
4955
#22
10.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.7
blue by 2.6
2626
#19
13.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed