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Red52
398811.8
355017.5
209517.6
Blue40
552819.4
50959.9
55709.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494202060805240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2095
#15
17.60.4
16.717.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End6.1
blue by 1.8
5528
#13
19.40.0
20.220.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End4.2
Second
3550
#17
17.50.4
17.718.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End3.8
red by 7.7
5095
#33
9.90.0
9.59.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
3988
#20
11.80.4
11.712.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.1
red by 2.5
5570
#32
9.30.0
10.310.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed