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Red68
591023.1
565920.3
544015.7
Blue30
397514.0
311713.4
66229.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584020806830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#21
23.11.2
22.323.6
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
red by 9.1
3975
#27
14.00.6
14.113.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.8
End3.7
Second
5659
#11
20.30.8
19.019.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.1
red by 6.9
13.40.6
14.213.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End4.7
Third
5440
#10
15.71.0
14.015.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End5.8
red by 6.4
6622
#34
9.30.7
10.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsMissed