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Red56
398811.8
643115.8
591023.1
Blue72
495221.4
50959.9
725127.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5461203040507080905672

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#21
23.10.1
23.623.4
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
blue by 4.2
27.30.3
27.327.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Second
6431
#24
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 5.6
21.40.3
21.321.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End7.0
Third
3988
#20
11.80.1
12.112.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.1
red by 1.9
5095
#33
9.90.3
9.59.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsEarned