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Red60
565920.3
399622.0
398811.8
Blue47
643115.8
561827.7
517917.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4544253035405055606047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.2
18.319.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
blue by 5.7
27.70.6
15.716.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End8.6
Second
5659
#11
20.31.3
13.414.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.1
red by 2.5
5179
#14
17.90.6
12.713.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End5.3
Third
3988
#20
11.81.4
10.512.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 4.0
6431
#24
15.80.4
13.013.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned