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Red41
71620.1
54949.6
174013.0
Blue68
500017.0
115329.9
206720.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4965203040607080901004168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#26
20.10.4
21.621.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.1
blue by 9.8
29.90.1
28.828.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End6.6
Second
1740
#28
13.00.6
13.412.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.4
End3.7
blue by 7.5
20.40.1
17.017.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End7.4
Third
5494
#27
9.60.6
11.911.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 7.3
5000
#10
17.00.1
15.315.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned