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Red49
404815.7
490810.3
54949.6
Blue60
314622.6
511213.8
271212.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363810203050604960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#20
15.70.8
9.09.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 6.9
22.62.3
15.317.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End5.8
Second
4908
#29
10.31.4
13.614.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End3.4
blue by 3.6
5112
#21
13.81.4
13.614.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End3.1
Third
5494
#27
9.61.4
11.212.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 2.8
2712
#16
12.52.3
7.59.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed