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Red38
314622.6
404815.7
71620.1
Blue54
27139.4
135015.7
323622.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5245102030406070803854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.2
17.516.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End5.8
Level
22.60.6
21.522.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End4.0
Second
716
#26
20.10.7
20.820.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.1
red by 4.5
1350
#23
15.70.9
11.812.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Third
4048
#20
15.70.7
10.79.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End5.3
red by 6.2
2713
#22
9.40.6
9.410.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed