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Red43
206720.4
54949.6
135015.7
Blue42
490810.3
511213.8
71620.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4650102030406070804342

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.0
18.218.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End7.4
red by 0.3
716
#26
20.10.3
20.219.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.1
Second
1350
#23
15.70.1
14.814.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End1.9
red by 1.8
5112
#21
13.80.3
15.615.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End3.1
Third
5494
#27
9.60.1
10.610.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 0.6
4908
#29
10.30.6
11.410.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed