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Red53
6120.2
511213.8
415113.6
Blue58
206720.4
490810.3
500017.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048304060705358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#14
20.20.6
20.721.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End6.5
blue by 0.2
20.40.2
18.218.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End7.4
Second
5112
#21
13.80.4
15.215.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End3.1
blue by 3.1
5000
#10
17.00.2
16.316.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End3.7
Third
4151
#13
13.60.4
11.712.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.9
red by 3.4
4908
#29
10.30.4
10.811.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsEarned