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Red90
110020.6
323622.6
216832.6
Blue40
12120.5
490810.3
19020.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755840507080901009040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.3
29.530.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.5
End6.1
red by 12.0
190
#7
20.61.0
21.420.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End8.6
Second
22.61.3
22.523.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End4.0
red by 2.1
121
#12
20.51.0
22.221.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End3.4
Third
1100
#18
20.61.3
18.720.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.2
red by 10.3
4908
#29
10.31.4
11.29.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned83%HAB Docking oddsEarned