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Red58
110020.6
12120.5
71620.1
Blue77
115329.9
371917.6
500017.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676750556065707580855877

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#18
20.60.3
20.019.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.2
blue by 9.3
29.90.5
29.730.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End6.6
Second
121
#12
20.50.3
21.220.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End3.4
red by 2.9
3719
#15
17.60.6
17.418.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
Third
716
#26
20.10.3
21.821.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.1
red by 3.2
5000
#10
17.00.5
16.817.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned