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Red78
505916.2
191218.9
255724.0
Blue80
97219.9
241223.8
141025.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59722040801007880

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.3
23.224.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.7
blue by 1.6
1410
#64
25.60.6
27.526.9
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Second
1912
#29
18.91.5
17.418.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
blue by 4.8
2412
#31
23.80.6
22.522.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Third
5059
#65
16.21.3
15.716.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 3.7
972
#47
19.90.6
18.317.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed