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Red79
177131.6
242913.7
97219.9
Blue56
241511.8
125117.6
153323.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6456304050607080907956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.8
28.929.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End8.8
red by 8.4
1533
#14
23.20.9
25.524.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Second
972
#47
19.90.8
18.119.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.2
red by 2.2
1251
#30
17.60.9
14.914.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Third
2429
#25
13.70.8
13.414.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
red by 1.9
2415
#63
11.80.9
12.811.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed