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Red82
630426.3
519032.1
388113.6
Blue61
682920.9
427622.2
505916.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736440506080901001108261

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.4
32.232.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End8.9
red by 9.9
4276
#54
22.20.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
6304
#39
26.30.6
24.324.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End5.3
red by 5.4
6829
#48
20.90.0
21.021.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Third
13.60.4
12.813.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 2.5
5059
#65
16.20.0
17.517.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed