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Red67
23130.1
56812.8
241511.8
Blue73
384729.6
399114.5
400526.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472204060801006773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#12
30.10.4
29.930.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 0.5
29.60.1
29.129.0
Auto5.4
Teleop19.0
End5.1
Second
568
#53
12.80.4
10.510.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 13.6
4005
#18
26.40.1
24.023.9
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End2.9
Third
2415
#63
11.80.4
10.911.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
blue by 2.7
3991
#57
14.50.1
15.115.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsEarned