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Red69
463913.0
58511.3
131827.2
Blue61
496521.5
745912.4
669523.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48492030406070806961

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#24
27.20.4
25.025.4
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End7.3
red by 4.1
6695
#50
23.11.1
17.218.3
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Second
4639
#62
13.00.4
10.410.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.3
blue by 8.6
4965
#34
21.51.0
20.121.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Third
585
#42
11.30.4
9.610.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 1.1
7459
#28
12.41.0
8.89.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed