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Red45
281315.6
290720.4
125117.6
Blue90
636422.3
141025.6
23130.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56783040506070901004590

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#58
20.40.5
20.419.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.0
blue by 9.7
231
#12
30.10.9
28.429.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Second
1251
#30
17.60.5
15.414.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End5.4
blue by 7.9
1410
#64
25.60.9
26.927.8
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Third
2813
#60
15.60.5
17.216.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End3.9
blue by 6.7
6364
#44
22.30.9
18.419.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed